empty
10.02.2025 06:55 PM
GBP/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/JPY pair is exhibiting a moderate intraday recovery, rising from levels last seen in September of last year and climbing above the key psychological level of 189.00, thereby breaking a three-day losing streak.

The recent tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump have reignited fears that Japan could also become a target for new trade duties, which is weighing on the yen and prompting some short covering in GBP/JPY. However, hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and concerns over a potential global trade war are preventing bears from aggressively entering safe-haven positions in the yen.

Bank of Japan's Director-General for Monetary Affairs, Kazuhiro Masaki, stated that the central bank will continue raising interest rates if core inflation reaches the 2% target. This view is supported by rising real wages in Japan for the second consecutive month, reinforcing the case for further monetary tightening by the BoJ.

At the same time, the Bank of England's outlook appears far less optimistic, highlighting the widening divergence in monetary policies between the two central banks. The BoE cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points last week and downgraded its growth forecast for 2025. Additionally, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey hinted at further rate cuts this year, which could limit GBP/JPY's upward potential.

With no significant economic data today to confirm whether GBP/JPY has found a bottom, traders should wait for a strong buying signal before committing to long positions. A key event to watch will be BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's speech on Tuesday, which could significantly impact the British pound and provide fresh impetus for GBP/JPY.

And from a technical point of view, oscillators on the daily chart remain deeply in negative territory, reinforcing a bearish outlook for the GBP/JPY pair.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on May 13? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Quite a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Tuesday, but most are expected to have only a minor impact on the movement of both currency pairs. As a reminder

Paolo Greco 05:59 2025-05-13 UTC+2

EUR/USD. The Dollar Is Back in the Saddle. But for How Long?

The greenback is back on top: the U.S. Dollar Index hit a four-week high on Monday, responding to the announcement of a three-month truce in the trade war between

Irina Manzenko 01:01 2025-05-13 UTC+2

China Helped the Dollar Halt Its Decline

The CFTC report released on Friday showed minimal changes in overall currency positioning, with the net USD position against major currencies decreasing by a symbolic $0.1 billion to—$17.2 billion

Kuvat Raharjo 00:24 2025-05-13 UTC+2

The Dollar Takes Time to Saddle Up but Rides Fast

Investors have shifted from the "Sell America" strategy that emerged after the White House imposed tariffs to "Buy America" amid positive developments in U.S.-China trade relations. While the S&P

Marek Petkovich 00:23 2025-05-13 UTC+2

Bitcoin Has Completed Its Minimum Task

Bitcoin has broken above the 100,000 mark, entered a consolidation phase, and confirmed the familiar pattern. Previously, after breaking through psychologically significant levels, the cryptocurrency experiences a period of stagnation

Marek Petkovich 00:23 2025-05-13 UTC+2

Has Common Sense Prevailed? (High probability of #SPX growth and a drop in gold prices)

On Monday, the United States announced "significant progress" in trade talks with China following a two-day meeting in Switzerland over the weekend. Markets reacted to this news with a gap-up

Pati Gani 11:00 2025-05-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD. An Important Week for the Pound

The GBP/USD pair is again under pressure due to the broad strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Last week, the pound attempted to break into the 1.34 zone in reaction

Irina Manzenko 10:49 2025-05-12 UTC+2

The Market Will Face Reality

How quickly things change on the financial markets! Before America's Liberation Day, investors viewed the 10% universal import tariff as disastrous. Now, it's seen as the most favorable option

Marek Petkovich 09:18 2025-05-12 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 12? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are no macroeconomic events scheduled for Monday. Fundamental developments will also be limited, but at this point, it is entirely unclear which factors are influencing price formation. The pound

Paolo Greco 06:51 2025-05-12 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Weekly Preview. Prepare for Price Turbulence

The upcoming week promises to be volatile. First, the market will react to the results of the Geneva meeting between representatives of the US and China. Second, key reports

Irina Manzenko 05:34 2025-05-12 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.