empty
28.03.2025 11:45 AM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating near the key psychological level of 1.0800, showing no intention of retreating below 1.0780 as traders and investors await the release of the U.S. PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Price Index.

This image is no longer relevant

This data will be closely watched for clues on the Federal Reserve's next steps, which are expected to significantly influence the dollar's short-term dynamics and potentially give new momentum to the EUR/USD pair.

Recent developments, including the introduction of 25% tariffs on imported cars and light trucks by U.S. President Donald Trump, along with duties on all steel and aluminum, have created market uncertainty and contributed to the weakening of the U.S. Dollar Index. This, in turn, is supporting the EUR/USD pair, especially in light of the Fed's forecasts for interest rate cuts. At the same time, a slight trade shift is preventing the dollar from extending its retreat from multi-week highs, limiting EUR/USD's upward potential.

This image is no longer relevant

Nevertheless, a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar appears unlikely for now, amid concerns that Trump's aggressive trade policies could slow U.S. economic growth, potentially forcing the Fed to resume rate cuts soon. Markets have already priced in the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering borrowing costs at its monetary policy meetings in June, July, and October. This has kept dollar bulls on the defensive, helping to contain downside pressure on EUR/USD.

It is also worth noting that the EU is preparing retaliatory measures in response to U.S. tariffs, which could further escalate trade tensions and raise the risk of a trade war between the EU and the U.S., adding more pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, if the pair holds above the 1.0780 level, it could open the door to further gains. However, the 1.0725 level or the 200-day SMA remains key support, and a break below it would likely lead to additional selling. Still, with oscillators on the daily chart holding firmly in positive territory, the path of least resistance remains to the upside—especially if prices break through the 1.0800 mark.

The current situation calls for close monitoring, particularly in light of upcoming economic data and speeches from FOMC members.

Ringkasan
Segera
Analitic
Irina Yanina
Mulakan perdagangan
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD – 5 Ogos: Mengapa Trump Menyalahkan Powell atas Segala-galanya?

Pada hari Isnin, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD kembali tenang dengan agak cepat, walaupun kami menjangkakan pergerakan intraday yang lebih aktif. Adalah penting untuk difahami bahawa dolar AS telah mencatatkan kenaikan

Paolo Greco 03:52 2025-08-05 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD – 5 Ogos: Pilihan Sukar bagi Fed

Pada hari Isnin, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD didagangkan dengan lebih tenang berbanding Jumaat lalu. Ingat bahawa hari Jumaat dan sebenarnya sepanjang minggu lalu dipenuhi dengan peristiwa asas dan makroekonomi yang

Paolo Greco 03:52 2025-08-05 UTC+2

Dua Prinsip Trump: Ketidakadilan dan Pemalsuan

Donald Trump telah memecat Pengarah Biro Statistik Pekerjaan AS, Erica McEntarfer. Jika bergantung padanya, beliau sudah lama akan memecat Pengerusi Rizab Persekutuan, Jerome Powell. Sebab pemecatan McEntarfer adalah semakan menurun

Chin Zhao 00:44 2025-08-05 UTC+2

AUD/USD: Jangan Terpedaya dengan Kenaikan Aussie

Pertukaran pasangan AUD/USD sedang menunjukkan kenaikan pembetulan akibat daripada kelemahan keseluruhan dolar A.S. Pertumbuhan semasa pasangan ini bukan didorong oleh dolar Australia itu sendiri, yang kekurangan kekuatan untuk menyokong pasangan

Irina Manzenko 00:44 2025-08-05 UTC+2

Jepun di Ambang Kemelesetan, Yen Terus Ditekan

Indeks Pengeluaran Industri meningkat sebanyak 1.7% bulan ke bulan pada bulan Jun, menandakan peningkatan pertama dalam tiga bulan. Keputusan ini bercanggah dengan jangkaan pasaran (Bloomberg telah meramalkan penurunan sebanyak 0.8%

Kuvat Raharjo 00:44 2025-08-05 UTC+2

Dolar Tidak Mempercayai Angka-Angka Tersebut

Segalanya kembali ke titik asal. Selepas pelantikan Donald Trump, para pelabur membayangkan senario stagflasi: tarif akan mendorong inflasi, manakala dasar anti-imigrasi dan pemberhentian besar-besaran kakitangan kerajaan akan menyejukkan pasaran buruh

Marek Petkovich 00:44 2025-08-05 UTC+2

XAU/USD – Analisis dan Ramalan

Hari ini, emas sedang mengukuh pada paras yang tinggi berhampiran tahap tertinggi Jumaat lepas. Pada masa yang sama, dolar A.S. memulakan minggu baharu dengan keuntungan sederhana, sebahagiannya pulih daripada kerugian

Irina Yanina 17:54 2025-08-04 UTC+2

USD/JPY – Analisis dan Ramalan

Hari ini, pasangan USD/JPY sedang cuba untuk pulih selepas kejatuhan pada hari Jumaat—namun setakat ini, masih belum berjaya. Pada hari Jumaat, Biro Statistik Buruh AS (BLS) telah mengeluarkan data bulan

Irina Yanina 12:44 2025-08-04 UTC+2

Kebimbangan yang Semakin Meningkat

Kenyataan daripada beberapa pegawai Rizab Persekutuan pada Jumaat lalu, sejurus selepas data pasaran buruh A.S. dikeluarkan, sekali lagi meningkatkan ketegangan, menekankan sekali lagi kesukaran situasi yang sedang dihadapi oleh bank

Jakub Novak 11:29 2025-08-04 UTC+2

Emas Kembali Melonjak

Harga emas stabil selepas mencatatkan kenaikan dua bulan paling kukuh pada hari Jumaat lalu, apabila para pedagang menilai implikasi data pekerjaan AS yang lemah terhadap ekonomi dan trajektori kadar faedah

Jakub Novak 11:10 2025-08-04 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.