Overview of trading and tips on EUR/USD
The price test of 1.0809 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already sharply moved up from the zero mark, which affected the EUR/USD pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Unfortunately, I didn't wait for the second sell scenario. The euro fell slightly due to the US producer price data, which turned out to be higher than economists' forecasts, but Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's stance and his hope that inflation would begin to decline in the near future had made it possible for the euro bulls to continue building long positions. Today, I expect a spike in volatility and sharp movement from the pair during the first half of the day, immediately after the release of reports on France's Consumer Price Index, Eurozone GDP, employment, and industrial production. However, it's important to understand that these indicators need to significantly deviate from economists' forecasts so that the pair can show sharp movement. If the data matches expectations, the euro may continue the uptrend that we've seen since the beginning of the week. As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on the implementation of scenarios No. 1 and 2.
Buy signals
Scenario No 1. Today, you can buy the euro when the price reaches 1.0837 plotted by the green line on the chart, aiming for growth to the level of 1.0882. At the level of 1.0882, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, counting on a movement of 30-35 pips from the entry point. You can count on the euro to rise today within the framework of an emerging uptrend, as well as after strong Eurozone GDP data. Before buying, make sure that the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and is just starting to rise from it.
Scenario No 2. I am also going to buy the euro today in case of two consecutive tests of the price of 1.0819 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the downward potential of the instrument and lead to an upward reversal of the market. We can expect growth to the opposite levels of 1.0837 and 1.0882.
Sell signals
Scenario No 1. I plan to sell the euro after EUR/USD reaches the level of 1.0819 plotted by the red line on the chart. The target will be the level of 1.0779, where I am going to exit the market and buy immediately in the opposite direction (expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the upward direction from the level). Pressure on EUR/USD will increase if it fails to consolidate near the daily high and weak Eurozone data. Before selling, make sure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and is just starting to decline from it.
Scenario No 2. I am also going to sell the euro today in case of two consecutive price tests of 1.0837 at the time when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward reversal of the market. We can expect a decline to the opposite level of 1.0819 and 1.0779.
What's on the chart:
The thin green line is the entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument.
The thick green line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.
The thin red line is the entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument.
The thick red line is the price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.
MACD line: it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market
Important: Novice traders in the cryptocurrency market need to be very cautious when making decisions to enter the market. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you don't use money management and trade with large volumes.
Remember, for successful trading, it is necessary to have a clear trading plan, similar to the one I presented above. Spontaneously making trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
